Gabriel Vinicius vs João Paulo Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-Reach-
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamChina Team· 1578 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Gabriel Vinicius is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — João Paulo Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1688
If they lose-30→ 1640
If they win+20→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel ViniciusJoão Paulo Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Vinicius65%
João Paulo Silva 35%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Vinicius a 65% favorite over João Paulo Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Gabriel Vinicius holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1574, a 96-point edge.
Gabriel Vinicius enters on a 8-fight win streak.
João Paulo Silva enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gabriel Vinicius finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, João Paulo Silva 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.