Gabriel Vinicius vs Rasul Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record17-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach-
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamAchilles
What's at stake
Gabriel Vinicius is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Rasul Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1694
If they lose-25→ 1646
If they win+17→ 1673
If they lose-15→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel ViniciusRasul Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Vinicius52%
Rasul Magomedov 48%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Vinicius a 52% favorite over Rasul Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Gabriel Vinicius holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1656, a 15-point edge.
Gabriel Vinicius enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Gabriel Vinicius finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.