Gabriel Vinicius vs Tyler Stinson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record31-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1695
If they lose-24→ 1647
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel ViniciusTyler Stinson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Vinicius72%
Tyler Stinson 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Vinicius a 72% favorite over Tyler Stinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.
Gabriel Vinicius enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Tyler Stinson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gabriel Vinicius finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Stinson 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.