Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriele Galluccio vs Nilton Gavião

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach-
150 lbsWeight151 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriele GalluccioNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Nilton GaviãoNow 1547
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gabriele GalluccioNilton Gavião
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
1 (13%)
Submission
4 (24%)
4 (50%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriele Galluccio59%
Nilton Gavião 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriele Galluccio a 59% favorite over Nilton Gavião in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1547), separated by just 0 points.

Nilton Gavião enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gabriele Galluccio finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nilton Gavião 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.