Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriele Galluccio vs Shamar Bailey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record16-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight170 lbs
Shoot Team AcademyTeamSparta Indy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriele GalluccioNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Shamar BaileyNow 1550
If they win+12→ 1562
If they lose-12→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.56
TBD
Strike accuracy
20%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.91
TBD
Strike defense
70%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gabriele GalluccioShamar Bailey
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
1 (13%)
Submission
3 (20%)
4 (50%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriele Galluccio87%
Shamar Bailey 13%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriele Galluccio a 87% favorite over Shamar Bailey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamar Bailey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1550), separated by just 3 points.

Shamar Bailey enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriele Galluccio finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Shamar Bailey 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.