Gabriella Carbone vs Ryusei Ashizawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-3-0Record2-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
MMA Barcelona TeamTeamFreelance· 1565 avg Elo · 10 rated
What's at stake
Ryusei Ashizawa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Gabriella Carbone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1449
If they lose-23→ 1401
If they win+23→ 1464
If they lose-25→ 1416
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gabriella CarboneRyusei Ashizawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryusei Ashizawa61%
Gabriella Carbone 39%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryusei Ashizawa a 61% favorite over Gabriella Carbone in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Ryusei Ashizawa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1441 to 1424, a 17-point edge.
Gabriella Carbone enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryusei Ashizawa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.