Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriella Carbone vs Shunichi Shimizu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-3-0Record35-28-10
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA Barcelona TeamTeamPolar Gym Osaka

What's at stake

Shunichi Shimizu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gabriella Carbone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gabriella CarboneNow 1424
If they win+29→ 1453
If they lose-19→ 1405
Shunichi ShimizuNow 1496
If they win+10→ 1506
If they lose-14→ 1482

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gabriella CarboneShunichi Shimizu
145015002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (12%)
0 (0%)
Submission
19 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gabriella Carbone and Shunichi Shimizu within a point of even.

Shunichi Shimizu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1496 to 1424, a 72-point edge.

Gabriella Carbone enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Shunichi Shimizu 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.