Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Grant Dawson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-5-1Record24-3-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1729 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1799
If they lose-12→ 1775
If they win+12→ 1813
If they lose-12→ 1789
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1723 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gadzhi RabadanovGrant Dawson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Grant Dawson65%
Gadzhi Rabadanov 35%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Grant Dawson a 65% favorite over Gadzhi Rabadanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1801), separated by just 14 points.
Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gadzhi Rabadanov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Grant Dawson 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.