Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-5-1Record21-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"Reach70,5"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamH2O MMA· 1644 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1797
If they lose-12→ 1773
If they win+12→ 1805
If they lose-12→ 1781
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gadzhi RabadanovOlivier Aubin-Mercier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gadzhi Rabadanov60%
Olivier Aubin-Mercier 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 60% favorite over Olivier Aubin-Mercier in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Olivier Aubin-Mercier's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1785 vs 1793), separated by just 8 points.
Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Olivier Aubin-Mercier enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Gadzhi Rabadanov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Olivier Aubin-Mercier 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.