Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Paddy Pimblett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-5-1Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach 73"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamNext Generation UK

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gadzhi RabadanovNow 1785
If they win+12→ 1797
If they lose-12→ 1773
Paddy PimblettNow 1795
If they win+12→ 1807
If they lose-12→ 1783

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.49
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.69
TBD
Takedown accuracy
21%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Gadzhi RabadanovPaddy Pimblett
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (39%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
5 (18%)
Submission
11 (46%)
12 (43%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Gadzhi Rabadanov53%
Paddy Pimblett 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 53% favorite over Paddy Pimblett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paddy Pimblett's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1785 vs 1795), separated by just 10 points.

Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gadzhi Rabadanov finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Pimblett 75%.

Paddy Pimblett carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.