Gadzhi Rabadanov vs Tracy Reeder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-5-1Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach73.5"
156 lbsWeight160 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1731 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Gadzhi Rabadanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Tracy Reeder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1783
If they lose-18→ 1759
If they win+23→ 1624
If they lose-9→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gadzhi RabadanovTracy Reeder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gadzhi Rabadanov71%
Tracy Reeder 29%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 71% favorite over Tracy Reeder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Gadzhi Rabadanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1601, a 176-point edge.
Tracy Reeder enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gadzhi Rabadanov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.
Tracy Reeder carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.