Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhimurad Aliev vs Jamie Mullarkey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'8"
-Reach74"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gorets Fight ClubTeamBangtao Muay Thai & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gadzhimurad AlievNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Gadzhimurad AlievJamie Mullarkey
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
2 (20%)
Submission
3 (17%)
6 (60%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Gadzhimurad Aliev63%
Jamie Mullarkey 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhimurad Aliev a 63% favorite over Jamie Mullarkey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jamie Mullarkey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Gadzhimurad Aliev finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Mullarkey 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.