Gadzhimurad Aliev vs KJ Noons
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record13-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'5"Height5'11"
-Reach39.00
147 lbsWeight168 lbs
Gorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamThe Arena
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gadzhimurad AlievKJ Noons
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
KJ Noons58%
Gadzhimurad Aliev 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes KJ Noons a 58% favorite over Gadzhimurad Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gadzhimurad Aliev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.
KJ Noons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gadzhimurad Aliev finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, KJ Noons 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.