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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhimurad Aliev vs Rob McCullough

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight154 lbs
Gorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gadzhimurad AlievNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Rob McCulloughNow 1629
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
Not available
Strike accuracy
36%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.58
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
68%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gadzhimurad AlievRob McCullough
1650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
2 (20%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (60%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Rob McCullough54%
Gadzhimurad Aliev 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rob McCullough a 54% favorite over Gadzhimurad Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gadzhimurad Aliev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.

Rob McCullough enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gadzhimurad Aliev finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Rob McCullough 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.