Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record22-9-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
40,0"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight262 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Marcos Rogerio de Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Gadzhimurad Antigulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovNow 1595
If they win+15→ 1610
If they lose-9→ 1586
Marcos Rogerio de LimaNow 1672
If they win+13→ 1685
If they lose-19→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
55%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
40%
Strike defense
52%
5.08
Takedown avg.
1.40
37%
Takedown accuracy
46%
0%
Takedown defense
59%
1.45
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMarcos Rogerio de Lima
16001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
14 (70%)
Submission
3 (14%)
1 (5%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Rogerio de Lima72%
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 72% favorite over Gadzhimurad Antigulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Marcos Rogerio de Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1595, a 77-point edge.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.