Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Max Grishin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Max Grishin
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Max Grishin

“Drago”

38-10-0HeavyweightRCC

1540Average

Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record38-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'7"
40,0"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight258 lbs
American Top TeamTeamStrela Team

What's at stake

Gadzhimurad Antigulov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Max Grishin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovNow 1595
If they win+10→ 1605
If they lose-14→ 1581
Max GrishinNow 1540
If they win+28→ 1568
If they lose-20→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
55%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
40%
Strike defense
59%
5.08
Takedown avg.
0.21
37%
Takedown accuracy
17%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
1.45
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMax Grishin
155016002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
24 (63%)
14 (70%)
Submission
4 (11%)
1 (5%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Grishin64%
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 36%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Grishin a 64% favorite over Gadzhimurad Antigulov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gadzhimurad Antigulov's way (42%).

Gadzhimurad Antigulov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1595 to 1540, a 55-point edge.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Max Grishin 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.