Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
40,0"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

Michał Oleksiejczuk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Gadzhimurad Antigulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-8→ 1587
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1704
If they win+8→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
55%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
40%
Strike defense
60%
5.08
Takedown avg.
1.02
37%
Takedown accuracy
42%
0%
Takedown defense
53%
1.45
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gadzhimurad AntigulovMichał Oleksiejczuk
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
14 (70%)
Submission
1 (5%)
1 (5%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk84%
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 16%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 84% favorite over Gadzhimurad Antigulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Michał Oleksiejczuk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1595, a 109-point edge.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.