Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Paul Craig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record17-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'4"
40,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamScottish Hit Squad
What's at stake
Paul Craig is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gadzhimurad Antigulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1610
If they lose-10→ 1586
If they win+10→ 1672
If they lose-14→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Craig66%
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Craig a 66% favorite over Gadzhimurad Antigulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Paul Craig holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1662 to 1596, a 66-point edge.
Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paul Craig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gadzhimurad Antigulov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Paul Craig 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.