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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gael Grimaud vs Maiquel Falcao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record39-21-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight202 lbs
Coq BatayTeamRasthai Temple

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gael GrimaudNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Maiquel FalcaoNow 1537
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.67
Not available
Strike accuracy
56%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.53
Not available
Strike defense
87%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1
Not available
Takedown accuracy
100%
Not available
Takedown defense
71%
Not available
Submission avg.
3

Trajectory

Gael GrimaudMaiquel Falcao
155016002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
27 (69%)
14 (67%)
Submission
5 (13%)
4 (19%)
Decision
7 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Maiquel Falcao65%
Gael Grimaud 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maiquel Falcao a 65% favorite over Gael Grimaud in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1537), separated by just 1 points.

Gael Grimaud enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Maiquel Falcao enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Gael Grimaud finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Maiquel Falcao 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.