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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gael Grimaud vs Mark Weir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Weir
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Mark Weir

“The Wizard”

21-18-1MiddleweightSFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record21-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Coq BatayTeamRange

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gael GrimaudNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Mark WeirNow 1537
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
Not available
Strike accuracy
64%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
Not available
Strike defense
38%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
25%
Not available
Submission avg.
3.23

Trajectory

Gael GrimaudMark Weir
1550201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
11 (52%)
14 (67%)
Submission
9 (43%)
4 (19%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Weir55%
Gael Grimaud 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Weir a 55% favorite over Gael Grimaud in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1537), separated by just 1 points.

Gael Grimaud enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gael Grimaud finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Mark Weir 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.