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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gairbek Dalgatov vs Lom-Ali Nalgiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-0-0Record23-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight163 lbs

What's at stake

Gairbek Dalgatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Lom-Ali Nalgiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gairbek DalgatovNow 1604
If they win+23→ 1627
If they lose-25→ 1579
Lom-Ali NalgievNow 1584
If they win+13→ 1597
If they lose-11→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gairbek DalgatovLom-Ali Nalgiev
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
9 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Lom-Ali Nalgiev56%
Gairbek Dalgatov 44%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Lom-Ali Nalgiev a 56% favorite over Gairbek Dalgatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gairbek Dalgatov's way (47%).

Gairbek Dalgatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1584, a 20-point edge.

Gairbek Dalgatov enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Lom-Ali Nalgiev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gairbek Dalgatov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lom-Ali Nalgiev 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.