Gan McGee vs Karl Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'10"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
260 lbsWeight247 lbs
S.K.S. Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gan McGeeKarl Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Williams61%
Gan McGee 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 61% favorite over Gan McGee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gan McGee's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1600), separated by just 2 points.
Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Gan McGee finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.