Combat Edge Intelligence

Garrett Armfield vs Jay Perrin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jay Perrin
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Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record13-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Springfield Fight ClubTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Garrett ArmfieldNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Jay PerrinNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
54%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
56%
Strike defense
45%
1.10
Takedown avg.
2.83
50%
Takedown accuracy
53%
65%
Takedown defense
59%
0.55
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Garrett ArmfieldJay Perrin
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
2 (20%)
Submission
4 (31%)
2 (20%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Garrett Armfield56%
Jay Perrin 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Garrett Armfield a 56% favorite over Jay Perrin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1591), separated by just 1 points.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Garrett Armfield finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jay Perrin 46%.

Garrett Armfield carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.