Combat Edge Intelligence

Garrett Armfield vs Nick Pace

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Springfield Fight ClubTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Garrett ArmfieldNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Nick PaceNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.35
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
54%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
56%
Strike defense
58%
1.10
Takedown avg.
2.52
50%
Takedown accuracy
43%
65%
Takedown defense
55%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Garrett ArmfieldNick Pace
1600201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
2 (20%)
Submission
5 (63%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Garrett Armfield57%
Nick Pace 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Garrett Armfield a 57% favorite over Nick Pace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Pace enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Garrett Armfield finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pace 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.