Combat Edge Intelligence

Garrett Armfield vs Saimon Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Springfield Fight ClubTeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Garrett ArmfieldNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Saimon OliveiraNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.67
54%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.10
Takedown avg.
1.07
50%
Takedown accuracy
25%
65%
Takedown defense
39%
0.55
Submission avg.
1.43

Trajectory

Garrett ArmfieldSaimon Oliveira
1600202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
2 (20%)
Submission
11 (61%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Garrett Armfield57%
Saimon Oliveira 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Garrett Armfield a 57% favorite over Saimon Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Saimon Oliveira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1595), separated by just 3 points.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Garrett Armfield finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.

Saimon Oliveira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.