Combat Edge Intelligence

Garrett Armfield vs Serhiy Sidey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record12-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Springfield Fight ClubTeamBurlington Training Centre

What's at stake

Serhiy Sidey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Garrett Armfield carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Garrett ArmfieldNow 1592
If they win+19→ 1611
If they lose-13→ 1579
Serhiy SideyNow 1665
If they win+13→ 1678
If they lose-19→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
54%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.44
56%
Strike defense
53%
1.10
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
20%
0.55
Submission avg.
1.39

Trajectory

Garrett ArmfieldSerhiy Sidey
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
2 (20%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (20%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Serhiy Sidey61%
Garrett Armfield 39%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Serhiy Sidey a 61% favorite over Garrett Armfield in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Serhiy Sidey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1592, a 73-point edge.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Serhiy Sidey enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Garrett Armfield finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Serhiy Sidey 67%.

Garrett Armfield and Serhiy Sidey share 1 common opponent: Mateo Vogel.

Serhiy Sidey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossRear Naked Choke · 2021
Mateo Vogel
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2020