Garrett Gross vs Ryota Oki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-11-0Record7-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Sabens Martial ArtsTeamKrazy Bee
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Garrett GrossRyota Oki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryota Oki65%
Garrett Gross 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryota Oki a 65% favorite over Garrett Gross in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Garrett Gross's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1517), separated by just 1 points.
Ryota Oki enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Garrett Gross finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ryota Oki 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.