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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gary Balletto vs Jason Tan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gary BallettoNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Jason TanNow 1615
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.69
Not available
Strike accuracy
30%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.37
Not available
Strike defense
19%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gary BallettoJason Tan
155016001650200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
7 (64%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Gary Balletto53%
Jason Tan 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gary Balletto a 53% favorite over Jason Tan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Gary Balletto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jason Tan 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.