Gary Balletto vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gary BallettoOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oban Elliott60%
Gary Balletto 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 60% favorite over Gary Balletto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Gary Balletto enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gary Balletto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Oban Elliott carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.