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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gary Balletto vs Randall Wallace

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record20-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gary BallettoNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Randall WallaceNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.13
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gary BallettoRandall Wallace
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
7 (64%)
Submission
9 (45%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Randall Wallace54%
Gary Balletto 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randall Wallace a 54% favorite over Gary Balletto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gary Balletto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Gary Balletto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Randall Wallace 90%.

Randall Wallace carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.