Gary Balletto vs Shimon Smotritsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
70"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tri-Force MMATeamMoshik Box
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gary BallettoShimon Smotritsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gary Balletto62%
Shimon Smotritsky 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gary Balletto a 62% favorite over Shimon Smotritsky in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shimon Smotritsky's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1619), separated by just 3 points.
Shimon Smotritsky enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gary Balletto finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shimon Smotritsky 60%.
Gary Balletto and Shimon Smotritsky share 1 common opponent: Billy Ray Goff.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.