Gary Frazier vs Paulo Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record0-3-0
TBDDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
Team
What's at stake
Gary Frazier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Paulo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1525
If they lose-28→ 1477
If they win+28→ 1468
If they lose-20→ 1420
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gary FrazierPaulo Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gary Frazier53%
Paulo Santos 47%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Gary Frazier a 53% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Gary Frazier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1505 to 1440, a 65-point edge.
Paulo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gary Frazier finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.