Gary Goodridge vs Mark Coleman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-22-1Record16-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
240 lbsWeight205 lbs
Big Daddy Fight TeamTeamHammer House
What's at stake
Mark Coleman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gary Goodridge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1607
If they lose-9→ 1583
If they win+9→ 1702
If they lose-15→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gary GoodridgeMark Coleman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Coleman67%
Gary Goodridge 33%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Coleman a 67% favorite over Gary Goodridge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Mark Coleman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1592, a 101-point edge.
Gary Goodridge enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Gary Goodridge finishes 96% of wins inside the distance, Mark Coleman 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.