Combat Edge Intelligence

Gary Goodridge vs Paul Herrera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-22-1Record1-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
240 lbsWeight185 lbs
Big Daddy Fight TeamTeamEmpire Training Center

What's at stake

Gary Goodridge is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Paul Herrera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gary GoodridgeNow 1592
If they win+9→ 1601
If they lose-15→ 1577
Paul HerreraNow 1498
If they win+30→ 1528
If they lose-18→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gary GoodridgePaul Herrera
150015501600165020032004200520062007200820092010

Win method breakdown

16 (70%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
6 (26%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (4%)
Decision
1 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Gary Goodridge63%
Paul Herrera 37%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Gary Goodridge a 63% favorite over Paul Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Gary Goodridge holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1498, a 94-point edge.

Gary Goodridge enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Gary Goodridge finishes 96% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.