Gasan Umalatov vs Luca Borando
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-3Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
41,0"Reach-
181 lbsWeight161 lbs
Astrakhan Top TeamTeamAurora MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gasan UmalatovLuca Borando
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luca Borando84%
Gasan Umalatov 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luca Borando a 84% favorite over Gasan Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gasan Umalatov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1656), separated by just 0 points.
Luca Borando enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gasan Umalatov finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Luca Borando 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.