Gasan Umalatov vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-3Record32-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
41,0"Reach80"
181 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astrakhan Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Gasan Umalatov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-8→ 1649
If they win+8→ 1776
If they lose-16→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gasan UmalatovNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny88%
Gasan Umalatov 12%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 88% favorite over Gasan Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1657, a 111-point edge.
Gasan Umalatov finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.