Gasan Umalatov vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-3Record31-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
41,0"Reach80"
181 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astrakhan Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Neil Magny is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gasan Umalatov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1671
If they lose-9→ 1647
If they win+9→ 1767
If they lose-15→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gasan UmalatovNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny78%
Gasan Umalatov 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 78% favorite over Gasan Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Neil Magny holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1656, a 102-point edge.
Gasan Umalatov finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.