Gasan Umalatov vs Reginaldo Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-3Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
41,0"Reach74"
181 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astrakhan Top TeamTeamFighting Nerds
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gasan UmalatovReginaldo Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gasan Umalatov54%
Reginaldo Junior 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gasan Umalatov a 54% favorite over Reginaldo Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1657), separated by just 0 points.
Gasan Umalatov finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Reginaldo Junior 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.