Combat Edge Intelligence

Gasan Umalatov vs Viscardi Andrade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-5-3Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach75,0"
181 lbsWeight170 lbs
Astrakhan Top TeamTeamGracie Fusion

What's at stake

Gasan Umalatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Viscardi Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gasan UmalatovNow 1656
If they win+10→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1642
Viscardi AndradeNow 1587
If they win+14→ 1601
If they lose-10→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.77
60%
Strike defense
63%
0.75
Takedown avg.
1.93
18%
Takedown accuracy
50%
90%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Gasan UmalatovViscardi Andrade
16001650201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
7 (39%)
Submission
6 (27%)
7 (39%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Gasan Umalatov71%
Viscardi Andrade 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Gasan Umalatov a 71% favorite over Viscardi Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Gasan Umalatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1587, a 69-point edge.

Viscardi Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gasan Umalatov finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Viscardi Andrade 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.