Combat Edge Intelligence

Gaston Bolaños vs Jarno Errens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record15-6-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
69"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
CSATeamTeam Thriving

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gaston BolañosNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Jarno ErrensNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.28
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
49%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
51%
Strike defense
62%
0.66
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
0%
43%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Gaston BolañosJarno Errens
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (33%)
3 (33%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Gaston Bolaños51%
Jarno Errens 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gaston Bolaños a 51% favorite over Jarno Errens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.

Gaston Bolaños finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jarno Errens 53%.

Jarno Errens carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.