Gauge Young vs Maheshate Hayisaer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record10-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ignite Jiu-JitsuTeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
Gauge Young is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Maheshate Hayisaer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1658
If they lose-17→ 1626
If they win+17→ 1635
If they lose-15→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gauge YoungMaheshate Hayisaer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gauge Young60%
Maheshate Hayisaer 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Gauge Young a 60% favorite over Maheshate Hayisaer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Gauge Young holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1643 to 1618, a 25-point edge.
Gauge Young enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gauge Young finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.