Combat Edge Intelligence

Gauge Young vs Marcos Aurélio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gauge Young
us

Gauge Young

“Gee Money”

11-3-0LightweightUFC

1643Solid

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight152 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gauge YoungNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Marcos AurélioNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.32
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0.75
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gauge YoungMarcos Aurélio
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (33%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gauge Young and Marcos Aurélio within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1643), separated by just 0 points.

Gauge Young enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gauge Young finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Aurélio 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.