Gavin Ceniseros vs Joe Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record45-31-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Angelo MMATeamTeam Extreme
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1459
If they lose-24→ 1411
If they win+12→ 1448
If they lose-12→ 1424
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gavin CeniserosJoe Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gavin Ceniseros59%
Joe Pearson 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gavin Ceniseros a 59% favorite over Joe Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Pearson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1435 vs 1436), separated by just 1 points.
Gavin Ceniseros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Pearson enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Joe Pearson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.