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Combat Edge Intelligence

Gavin Ceniseros vs Joshua Aleman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Gavin Ceniseros
us

Gavin Ceniseros

“The Ultimo Dragon”

0-2-0FeatherweightFFC

1435Developing

Tale of the tape

0-2-0Record3-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Angelo MMATeamStrong Style Martial Arts

What's at stake

Joshua Aleman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Gavin Ceniseros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gavin CeniserosNow 1435
If they win+29→ 1464
If they lose-19→ 1416
Joshua AlemanNow 1504
If they win+19→ 1523
If they lose-29→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Gavin CeniserosJoshua Aleman
1450150020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Aleman77%
Gavin Ceniseros 23%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Aleman a 77% favorite over Gavin Ceniseros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Joshua Aleman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1504 to 1435, a 69-point edge.

Gavin Ceniseros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joshua Aleman 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.