Gavin Ceniseros vs Justin Robbins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record14-19-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Angelo MMATeamFinney's HIT Squad
What's at stake
Gavin Ceniseros is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Justin Robbins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1457
If they lose-26→ 1409
If they win+13→ 1415
If they lose-11→ 1391
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gavin CeniserosJustin Robbins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gavin Ceniseros67%
Justin Robbins 33%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Gavin Ceniseros a 67% favorite over Justin Robbins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Gavin Ceniseros holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1435 to 1402, a 33-point edge.
Gavin Ceniseros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Justin Robbins enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Justin Robbins 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.