Combat Edge Intelligence

Gavin Tucker vs Magomed Sardalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record11-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach-
145 lbsWeight137 lbs
Titans MMATeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gavin TuckerNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Magomed SardalovNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
3.13
Takedown avg.
TBD
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.46
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gavin TuckerMagomed Sardalov
1550160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
6 (46%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (23%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Sardalov70%
Gavin Tucker 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sardalov a 70% favorite over Gavin Tucker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gavin Tucker's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1668), separated by just 0 points.

Gavin Tucker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Magomed Sardalov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Gavin Tucker finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Sardalov 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.