Combat Edge Intelligence

Gavin Tucker vs Steven Nguyen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
66"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Titans MMATeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gavin TuckerNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Steven NguyenNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
7.15
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.36
57%
Strike defense
61%
3.13
Takedown avg.
0.28
44%
Takedown accuracy
100%
54%
Takedown defense
85%
1.46
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gavin TuckerSteven Nguyen
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
6 (46%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (23%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Nguyen70%
Gavin Tucker 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Nguyen a 70% favorite over Gavin Tucker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1670), separated by just 2 points.

Gavin Tucker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gavin Tucker finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Steven Nguyen 80%.

Steven Nguyen carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.