Gavin Tucker vs Tom Pagliarulo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record11-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'0"
66"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Titans MMATeamNew England Cartel
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gavin TuckerTom Pagliarulo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Gavin Tucker and Tom Pagliarulo within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1669), separated by just 0 points.
Gavin Tucker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tom Pagliarulo enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Gavin Tucker finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Tom Pagliarulo 91%.
Tom Pagliarulo carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.