Gegam Manavazyan vs Lance Lawrence
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record8-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
Bastion GymTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gegam ManavazyanLance Lawrence
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lance Lawrence60%
Gegam Manavazyan 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lance Lawrence a 60% favorite over Gegam Manavazyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.
Gegam Manavazyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gegam Manavazyan finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Lance Lawrence 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.