Gegard Mousasi vs Ilir Latifi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
49-9-2Record16-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
42,0"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight250 lbs
Team JurojinTeamAllstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Gegard Mousasi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Ilir Latifi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1862
If they lose-18→ 1838
If they win+24→ 1691
If they lose-8→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gegard MousasiIlir Latifi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gegard Mousasi75%
Ilir Latifi 25%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Gegard Mousasi a 75% favorite over Ilir Latifi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Gegard Mousasi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1667, a 189-point edge.
Gegard Mousasi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gegard Mousasi finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ilir Latifi 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.