Combat Edge Intelligence

Gegard Mousasi vs Mark Munoz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Munoz
us

Mark Munoz

“The Filipino Wrecking Machine”

14-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

49-9-2Record14-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
42,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team JurojinTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

Gegard Mousasi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Mark Munoz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Gegard MousasiNow 1856
If they win+5→ 1861
If they lose-19→ 1837
Mark MunozNow 1639
If they win+25→ 1664
If they lose-7→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
51%
Strike accuracy
51%
1.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
69%
Strike defense
57%
1.59
Takedown avg.
3.17
60%
Takedown accuracy
30%
60%
Takedown defense
58%
1.15
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Gegard MousasiMark Munoz
17001800190020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

28 (57%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
12 (24%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (18%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Gegard Mousasi83%
Mark Munoz 17%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Gegard Mousasi a 83% favorite over Mark Munoz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Gegard Mousasi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1856 to 1639, a 217-point edge.

Gegard Mousasi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gegard Mousasi finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Mark Munoz 50%.

Gegard Mousasi and Mark Munoz share 1 common opponent: Lyoto Machida.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Decision · 2019
Lyoto Machida
LossKO/TKO · 2013